Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGAMASTERS-26-RHIS
Ryo Hisatsune to compete in The Masters in 2026?
Series: KXPGAMASTERS
Entity: Ryo Hisatsune
Expiration: 2026-04-13T14:00:00Z
Volume: 23558
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Ryo Hisatsune competes in The Masters in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAR1TOP10-VATO26-RHIS
Valero Texas Open: Will Ryo Hisatsune finish top 10 in Round 1?
Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Ryo Hisatsune
Expiration: 2026-04-02T22:00:00Z
Volume: 393
YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Ryo Hisatsune finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:10:54Z
Reasoning: Competing in The Masters has no logical connection to finishing top 10 in Round 1 of the Valero Texas Open, and vice versa. No logical necessity in either direction.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.9900
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A