Pair #5673

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VATO26-RHIS

Will Ryo Hisatsune win the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Ryo Hisatsune
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1474307

YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ryo Hisatsune wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMASTERS-26-RHIS

Ryo Hisatsune to compete in The Masters in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMASTERS
Entity: Ryo Hisatsune
Expiration: 2026-04-13T14:00:00Z
Volume: 23558

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ryo Hisatsune competes in The Masters in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:10:54Z

Reasoning: Winning the Valero Texas Open earns an invitation to The Masters (the winner receives a Masters invite as part of the tournament's exemptions). Therefore winning the Valero Texas Open implies competing in The Masters. The reverse does not hold — Hisatsune could qualify for The Masters via other criteria.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.9600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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