Pair #5667

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-RFOW

Valero Texas Open: Will Rickie Fowler finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Rickie Fowler
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2065

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Rickie Fowler finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-RFOW

Valero Texas Open: Will Rickie Fowler finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Rickie Fowler
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4908

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Rickie Fowler finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:10:37Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20 (top 10 is a subset of top 20). The reverse does not hold — a top-20 finish could be outside the top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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