Pair #566

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-TKIM

Valspar Championship: Will Tom Kim finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3791

YES ask: 0.7300
NO ask: 0.3000
Last: 0.7300

Rules

If Tom Kim finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-TKIM

Will Tom Kim win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 425844

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tom Kim wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:03:27Z

Reasoning: These are completely independent events — one is about finishing top 20 at the Valspar Championship, the other about winning the Masters. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.3010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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