Pair #5648

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-VATO26-MHOM

Valero Texas Open: Will Max Homa finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Max Homa
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4418

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Max Homa finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-MHOM

Valero Texas Open: Will Max Homa make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Max Homa
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 5642

YES ask: 0.9500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Max Homa has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:10:21Z

Reasoning: If Homa finishes top 5 in the tournament, he must have made the cut to play the weekend rounds and post a final finish. However, making the cut does not imply finishing top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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