Pair #5637

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-MHOM

Valero Texas Open: Will Max Homa finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Max Homa
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1448

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Max Homa finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-MHOM

Valero Texas Open: Will Max Homa make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Max Homa
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 5642

YES ask: 0.9500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Max Homa has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:10:03Z

Reasoning: To finish top 10 in the overall tournament, a player must have made the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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