Pair #5627

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1TOP10-VATO26-MHOM

Valero Texas Open: Will Max Homa finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Max Homa
Expiration: 2026-04-02T22:00:00Z
Volume: 426

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Max Homa finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-VATO26-MHOM

Will Max Homa win the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Max Homa
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 384540

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Max Homa wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:09:43Z

Reasoning: Winning the Valero Texas Open does not require finishing top 10 in Round 1 specifically (could start slowly and surge), and finishing top 10 in Round 1 does not guarantee winning the tournament.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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