Pair #5624

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1TOP5-VATO26-MHOM

Valero Texas Open: Will Max Homa finish top 5 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP5
Entity: Max Homa
Expiration: 2026-04-02T22:00:00Z
Volume: 499

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Max Homa finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-MHOM

Will Max Homa win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Max Homa
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 4121696

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Max Homa wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:09:43Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and finishing top 5 in Round 1 of the Valero Texas Open are entirely separate events at different tournaments with no logical dependency.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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