Pair #5623

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1TOP10-VATO26-MHOM

Valero Texas Open: Will Max Homa finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Max Homa
Expiration: 2026-04-02T22:00:00Z
Volume: 426

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Max Homa finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-MHOM

Will Max Homa win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Max Homa
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 4121696

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Max Homa wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:09:43Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and finishing top 10 in Round 1 of the Valero Texas Open are entirely separate events at different tournaments with no logical dependency.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue