Pair #5620

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-ANOR

Valero Texas Open: Will Alex Noren make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Alex Noren
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 558

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.1000
Last: 0.7000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Alex Noren has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VATO26-ANOR

Will Alex Noren lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Alex Noren
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 16381

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Alex Noren is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:09:43Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (could collapse in R2), and making the cut does not require leading after R1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.1100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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