Pair #5618

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-ANOR

Valero Texas Open: Will Alex Noren finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Alex Noren
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2112

YES ask: 0.1700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Alex Noren finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-ANOR

Valero Texas Open: Will Alex Noren make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Alex Noren
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 558

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.1000
Last: 0.7000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Alex Noren has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:09:24Z

Reasoning: If Noren finishes top 10, he must have made the cut. Making the cut does not imply finishing top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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