Pair #5616

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-ANOR

Valero Texas Open: Will Alex Noren finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Alex Noren
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 11366

YES ask: 0.3900
NO ask: 0.6300
Last: 0.3600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Alex Noren finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-ANOR

Valero Texas Open: Will Alex Noren make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Alex Noren
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 558

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.1000
Last: 0.7000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Alex Noren has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:09:24Z

Reasoning: If Noren finishes top 20, he must have made the cut to play the final rounds. Making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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