Pair #5613

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-VATO26-ANOR

Valero Texas Open: Will Alex Noren finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Alex Noren
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 683

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.8300

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Rules

If Alex Noren finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-ANOR

Will Alex Noren win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Alex Noren
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1246179

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Alex Noren wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:09:24Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and finishing top 5 at the Valero Texas Open are independent events at separate tournaments. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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