Pair #5612

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-ANOR

Valero Texas Open: Will Alex Noren make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Alex Noren
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 558

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.1000
Last: 0.7000

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Rules

If Alex Noren has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-ANOR

Will Alex Noren win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Alex Noren
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1246179

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Alex Noren wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:09:24Z

Reasoning: The Masters and the Valero Texas Open are separate tournaments. Winning the Masters has no logical bearing on whether Noren made the cut at the Valero Texas Open, and vice versa.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.1010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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