Pair #5608

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-JSPA

Valero Texas Open: Will J.J. Spaun finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: J.J. Spaun
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2310

YES ask: 0.4300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.4400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If J.J. Spaun finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-JSPA

Valero Texas Open: Will J.J. Spaun make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: J.J. Spaun
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 722

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.6300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If J.J. Spaun has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:09:24Z

Reasoning: If Spaun finishes top 10, he must have made the cut to play the weekend rounds. However, making the cut does not imply finishing top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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