Pair #5599

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-JSPA

Valero Texas Open: Will J.J. Spaun finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: J.J. Spaun
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2310

YES ask: 0.4300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.4400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If J.J. Spaun finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-JSPA

Will J.J. Spaun win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: J.J. Spaun
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 4303647

YES ask: 0.0030
NO ask: 0.9990
Last: 0.0030

View on Kalshi

Rules

If J.J. Spaun wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:09:06Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and finishing top 10 in the Valero Texas Open are separate tournaments with no logical dependency between them.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0030
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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