Pair #5594

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-WZAL

Valero Texas Open: Will Will Zalatoris finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Will Zalatoris
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 19336

YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0700

Rules

If Will Zalatoris finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-WZAL

Will Will Zalatoris win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Will Zalatoris
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1746884

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Will Zalatoris wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:08:48Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and finishing top 20 at the Valero Texas Open are completely independent events across different tournaments. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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