Pair #5574

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VATO26-NTAY

Will Nick Taylor lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Nick Taylor
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 22692

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Nick Taylor is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-VATO26-NTAY

Will Nick Taylor win the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Nick Taylor
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 80914

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Nick Taylor wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:08:28Z

Reasoning: Winning the Valero Texas Open does not require leading after Round 1 (a player can win without ever holding the outright lead after R1). Leading after R1 does not require winning. Neither direction is logically necessary.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue