Pair #5558

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-MMCN

Valero Texas Open: Will Maverick McNealy make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Maverick McNealy
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 857

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Maverick McNealy has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VATO26-MMCN

Will Maverick McNealy lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Maverick McNealy
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 187903

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Maverick McNealy is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:07:49Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (Round 2 performance matters), and making the cut does not require leading after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue