Pair #5552

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-VATO26-MMCN

Valero Texas Open: Will Maverick McNealy finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Maverick McNealy
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3473

YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Maverick McNealy finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-MMCN

Valero Texas Open: Will Maverick McNealy finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Maverick McNealy
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5990

YES ask: 0.2200
NO ask: 0.8000
Last: 0.2200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Maverick McNealy finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:07:49Z

Reasoning: If McNealy finishes top 5, he necessarily finishes top 10. The reverse does not hold — top 10 does not require top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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