Pair #5550

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1TOP5-VATO26-MMCN

Valero Texas Open: Will Maverick McNealy finish top 5 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP5
Entity: Maverick McNealy
Expiration: 2026-04-02T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1634

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Maverick McNealy finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-MMCN

Valero Texas Open: Will Maverick McNealy finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Maverick McNealy
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5990

YES ask: 0.2200
NO ask: 0.8000
Last: 0.2200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Maverick McNealy finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:07:49Z

Reasoning: Overall tournament top 10 and Round 1 top 5 are independent metrics across different scopes. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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