Pair #5545

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1TOP10-VATO26-MMCN

Valero Texas Open: Will Maverick McNealy finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Maverick McNealy
Expiration: 2026-04-02T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1737

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.3500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Maverick McNealy finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-MMCN

Valero Texas Open: Will Maverick McNealy finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Maverick McNealy
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 21421

YES ask: 0.4600
NO ask: 0.5800
Last: 0.4700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Maverick McNealy finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:07:31Z

Reasoning: Final top 20 finish and Round 1 top 10 finish are independent — a player can finish top 20 overall without being top 10 in Round 1, and vice versa.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.4600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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