Pair #5535

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-MMCN

Valero Texas Open: Will Maverick McNealy make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Maverick McNealy
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 857

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

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Rules

If Maverick McNealy has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-MMCN

Will Maverick McNealy win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Maverick McNealy
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 2423032

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Maverick McNealy wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:07:12Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and making the cut at the Valero Texas Open are independent events at different tournaments. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.0110
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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