Pair #5528

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-LABE

Valero Texas Open: Will Ludvig Aberg make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Ludvig Aberg
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 8557

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ludvig Aberg has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1TOP5-VATO26-LABE

Valero Texas Open: Will Ludvig Aberg finish top 5 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP5
Entity: Ludvig Aberg
Expiration: 2026-04-02T22:00:00Z
Volume: 2811

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.9000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ludvig Aberg finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:07:12Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 in Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could collapse in Round 2 and miss the cut), and making the cut does not imply a top-5 Round 1 finish. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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