Pair #5517

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-LABE

Valero Texas Open: Will Ludvig Aberg finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Ludvig Aberg
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 25063

YES ask: 0.9300
NO ask: 0.1400
Last: 0.9300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ludvig Aberg finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-MAST26-LABE

Masters Tournament: Will Ludvig Aberg finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Ludvig Aberg
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 167475

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9600
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ludvig Aberg finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:06:53Z

Reasoning: These are two different tournaments. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.2000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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