Pair #5513

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-LABE

Masters Tournament: Will Ludvig Aberg finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Ludvig Aberg
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 351368

YES ask: 0.5800
NO ask: 0.4400
Last: 0.5800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ludvig Aberg finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-VATO26-LABE

Valero Texas Open: Will Ludvig Aberg finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Ludvig Aberg
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 25916

YES ask: 0.8100
NO ask: 0.2000
Last: 0.7100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ludvig Aberg finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:06:53Z

Reasoning: These are two different tournaments (Masters vs Valero Texas Open). A top 20 finish in one does not logically necessitate any finish in the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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