Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-LABE
Valero Texas Open: Will Ludvig Aberg make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Ludvig Aberg
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 8557
YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Ludvig Aberg has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOP20-MAST26-LABE
Masters Tournament: Will Ludvig Aberg finish top 20?
Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Ludvig Aberg
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 351368
YES ask: 0.5800
NO ask: 0.4400
Last: 0.5800
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Ludvig Aberg finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:06:53Z
Reasoning: These are two different tournaments (Masters vs Valero Texas Open). Performance in one has no logical bearing on the other.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$0.5900
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A