Pair #5507

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-LABE

Valero Texas Open: Will Ludvig Aberg finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Ludvig Aberg
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 25063

YES ask: 0.9300
NO ask: 0.1400
Last: 0.9300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ludvig Aberg finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-LABE

Masters Tournament: Will Ludvig Aberg finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Ludvig Aberg
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 351368

YES ask: 0.5800
NO ask: 0.4400
Last: 0.5800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ludvig Aberg finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:06:34Z

Reasoning: Different tournaments. A top 20 finish at the Masters has no logical bearing on a top 10 finish at the Valero Texas Open.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.7200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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