Pair #5506

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-LABE

Valero Texas Open: Will Ludvig Aberg finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Ludvig Aberg
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 56125

YES ask: 0.9300
NO ask: 0.0800
Last: 0.9300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ludvig Aberg finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-MAST26-LABE

Masters Tournament: Will Ludvig Aberg finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Ludvig Aberg
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 167475

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9600
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ludvig Aberg finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:06:34Z

Reasoning: Different tournaments entirely. No logical connection between finishing top 20 at the Valero Texas Open and finishing top 5 at the Masters.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.1400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue