Pair #5503

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-LABE

Masters Tournament: Will Ludvig Aberg finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Ludvig Aberg
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 351368

YES ask: 0.5800
NO ask: 0.4400
Last: 0.5800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ludvig Aberg finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-LABE

Valero Texas Open: Will Ludvig Aberg finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Ludvig Aberg
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 56125

YES ask: 0.9300
NO ask: 0.0800
Last: 0.9300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ludvig Aberg finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:06:34Z

Reasoning: These are two different tournaments. A top 20 finish in one has no logical necessity on the outcome of the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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