Pair #55

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOMEN-26-BUB

Will Alexander Bublik win the French Open?

Series: KXFOMEN
Entity: Alexander Bublik
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 76346

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Alexander Bublik wins the 2026 Men's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXATPGRANDSLAM-26-ABUB

Will Alexander Bublik win a Tennis Grand Slam in 2026?

Series: KXATPGRANDSLAM
Entity: Alexander Bublik
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 1339

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Alexander Bublik wins a tennis major (the Australian Open, the U.S. Open, the French Open, or Wimbledon) before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-16T22:51:29Z

Reasoning: Winning the French Open is winning a Grand Slam, so B implies A. A does not imply B since Bublik could win a different Grand Slam.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-16T23:07:05Z

Authenticate

← Back to review queue