Pair #5485

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-SSTR

Valero Texas Open: Will Sepp Straka make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Sepp Straka
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 5112

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sepp Straka has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1TOP5-VATO26-SSTR

Valero Texas Open: Will Sepp Straka finish top 5 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP5
Entity: Sepp Straka
Expiration: 2026-04-02T22:00:00Z
Volume: 210

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sepp Straka finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:05:57Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 in Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut — a poor Round 2 could still result in missing the cut. Making the cut does not require a top-5 Round 1 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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