Pair #5470

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1TOP10-VATO26-RMAC

Valero Texas Open: Will Robert MacIntyre finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Robert MacIntyre
Expiration: 2026-04-02T22:00:00Z
Volume: 239

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.2200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Robert MacIntyre finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-RMAC

Valero Texas Open: Will Robert MacIntyre finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Robert MacIntyre
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 15576

YES ask: 0.9800
NO ask: 0.2500
Last: 0.7100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Robert MacIntyre finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:05:36Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 in the overall tournament is unrelated to finishing top 10 in Round 1 specifically. A player could finish top 20 overall without being top 10 after round 1, and vice versa.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue