Pair #5446

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-TFLE

Masters Tournament: Will Tommy Fleetwood finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Tommy Fleetwood
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 113976

YES ask: 0.3000
NO ask: 0.7200
Last: 0.3000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tommy Fleetwood finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-TFLE

Valero Texas Open: Will Tommy Fleetwood finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Tommy Fleetwood
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 26932

YES ask: 0.3900
NO ask: 0.6700
Last: 0.4000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tommy Fleetwood finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:04:55Z

Reasoning: These are two separate tournaments. Performance in one has no logical necessity on performance in the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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