Pair #5429

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-JSPI

Valero Texas Open: Will Jordan Spieth make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Jordan Spieth
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 5747

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.1800
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jordan Spieth has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1TOP5-VATO26-JSPI

Valero Texas Open: Will Jordan Spieth finish top 5 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP5
Entity: Jordan Spieth
Expiration: 2026-04-02T22:00:00Z
Volume: 2095

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.4900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jordan Spieth finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:04:38Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 in Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could collapse in Round 2). Making the cut does not require a top-5 Round 1 finish. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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