Pair #5424

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VATO26-JSPI

Will Jordan Spieth lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Jordan Spieth
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 142714

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jordan Spieth is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1TOP10-VATO26-JSPI

Valero Texas Open: Will Jordan Spieth finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Jordan Spieth
Expiration: 2026-04-02T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1731

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jordan Spieth finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:04:17Z

Reasoning: If Spieth leads after Round 1, he must be in the top position, which is necessarily within the top 10. However, finishing top 10 in Round 1 does not mean he leads (he could be 2nd through 10th).

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue