Pair #54

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOMEN-26-DE

Will Alex de Minaur win the French Open?

Series: KXFOMEN
Entity: Alex de Minaur
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 416078

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Alex de Minaur wins the 2026 Men's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXATPGRANDSLAM-26-AMIN

Will Alex de Minaur win a Tennis Grand Slam in 2026?

Series: KXATPGRANDSLAM
Entity: Alex de Minaur
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 3377

YES ask: 0.5900
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Alex de Minaur wins a tennis major (the Australian Open, the U.S. Open, the French Open, or Wimbledon) before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-16T22:51:29Z

Reasoning: Winning the French Open is winning a Grand Slam, so B implies A. A does not imply B since de Minaur could win a different Grand Slam.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-16T23:07:01Z

Authenticate

← Back to review queue