Pair #5391

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-RHEN

Valero Texas Open: Will Russell Henley finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Russell Henley
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 39704

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Russell Henley finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-RHEN

Valero Texas Open: Will Russell Henley make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Russell Henley
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 3574

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.5900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Russell Henley has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:03:19Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 in the overall tournament requires playing the weekend rounds, which means Henley must have made the cut. The reverse does not hold: making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue