Pair #538

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-SIM

Valspar Championship: Will Sungjae Im finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Sungjae Im
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 12328

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

Rules

If Sungjae Im finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-SJIM

Will Sungjae Im win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Sungjae Im
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 2280125

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sungjae Im wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:02:32Z

Reasoning: These are two completely different tournaments (Valspar Championship vs. Masters Tournament). Performance in one has no logical necessity on the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.0110
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue