Pair #5377

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-WKIM

Valero Texas Open: Will Si Woo Kim make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Si Woo Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 4852

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.6100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Si Woo Kim has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1TOP5-VATO26-WKIM

Valero Texas Open: Will Si Woo Kim finish top 5 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP5
Entity: Si Woo Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-02T22:00:00Z
Volume: 10446

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Si Woo Kim finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:02:58Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 in Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (which is determined after Round 2). And making the cut does not imply a top 5 Round 1 finish. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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