Pair #5375

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1TOP5-VATO26-WKIM

Valero Texas Open: Will Si Woo Kim finish top 5 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP5
Entity: Si Woo Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-02T22:00:00Z
Volume: 10446

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Si Woo Kim finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-WKIM

Valero Texas Open: Will Si Woo Kim finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Si Woo Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 7149

YES ask: 0.1700
NO ask: 0.8400
Last: 0.1700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Si Woo Kim finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:02:58Z

Reasoning: Final tournament top 10 and Round 1 top 5 are independent — a player can finish top 10 overall without leading after Round 1, and vice versa. No implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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