Pair #5372

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1TOP5-VATO26-WKIM

Valero Texas Open: Will Si Woo Kim finish top 5 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP5
Entity: Si Woo Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-02T22:00:00Z
Volume: 10446

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Si Woo Kim finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-SWOO

Will Si Woo Kim win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Si Woo Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1936252

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Si Woo Kim wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:02:58Z

Reasoning: These are completely unrelated events — one is the Masters Tournament final result, the other is Round 1 of the Valero Texas Open. No logical connection.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue