Pair #5350

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-MAST26-BKOE

Masters Tournament: Will Brooks Koepka finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 104313

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brooks Koepka finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-BKOE

Masters Tournament: Will Brooks Koepka finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 149990

YES ask: 0.2600
NO ask: 0.7500
Last: 0.2600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brooks Koepka finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:02:15Z

Reasoning: A top 5 finish at the Masters necessarily means a top 10 finish as well. The reverse does not hold — finishing, say, 7th is top 10 but not top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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