Pair #5292

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXWTAGRANDSLAM-26-JOV

Will Iva Jovic win a Tennis Grand Slam in 2026?

Series: KXWTAGRANDSLAM
Entity: Iva Jovic
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 4158

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Iva Jovic wins a tennis major (the Australian Open, the U.S. Open, the French Open, or Wimbledon) before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26APR02JOVKEN-JOV

Will Iva Jovic win the Jovic vs Kenin : Round Of 16 match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Iva Jovic
Expiration: 2026-04-03T01:00:00Z
Volume: 281

YES ask: 0.7600
NO ask: 0.2800
Last: 0.7600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Iva Jovic wins the Jovic vs Kenin professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Charleston Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:00:33Z

Reasoning: Winning a Grand Slam in 2026 has no logical connection to winning a WTA Charleston Round of 16 match. These are separate tournaments with no dependency.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -61.67% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.7500
Days to maturity: 213
Hurdle yield: 4.28%
Excess yield: -65.95% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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