Pair #5287

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOWOMEN-26-PEG

Will Jessica Pegula win the French Open?

Series: KXFOWOMEN
Entity: Jessica Pegula
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 97143

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jessica Pegula wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26APR02PEGCOC-PEG

Will Jessica Pegula win the Pegula vs Cocciaretto : Round Of 16 match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Jessica Pegula
Expiration: 2026-04-02T18:00:00Z
Volume: 25314

YES ask: 0.7300
NO ask: 0.2900
Last: 0.7300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jessica Pegula wins the Pegula vs Cocciaretto professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Charleston Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:00:33Z

Reasoning: Winning the French Open and winning a WTA Charleston Round of 16 match are entirely separate tournaments with no logical dependency in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.7100
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: -104.22% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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