Pair #5283

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXATPMATCH-26APR01MOLNAV-NAV

Will Mariano Navone win the Moller vs Navone : Round Of 16 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Mariano Navone
Expiration: 2026-04-01T12:00:00Z
Volume: 13045

YES ask: 0.7800
NO ask: 0.2300
Last: 0.7800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Mariano Navone wins the Moller vs Navone professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXATPSETWINNER-26APR01MOLNAV-1-NAV

Will Mariano Navone win set 1 in the Elmer Moller vs Mariano Navone match

Series: KXATPSETWINNER
Entity: Mariano Navone
Expiration: 2026-04-01T12:00:00Z
Volume: 315

YES ask: 0.7100
NO ask: 0.3300
Last: 0.7000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Mariano Navone wins set 1 in the Elmer Moller vs Mariano Navone professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:26:59Z

Reasoning: In tennis, a player can win the match without winning set 1, and winning set 1 does not guarantee winning the match. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.9400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue