Pair #5262

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-JDAH

Valero Texas Open: Will Joel Dahmen finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Joel Dahmen
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2720

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Joel Dahmen finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-JDAH

Valero Texas Open: Will Joel Dahmen make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Joel Dahmen
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1629

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Joel Dahmen has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:26:41Z

Reasoning: If Dahmen finishes top 20, he must have made the cut to compete in the final rounds. However, making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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