Pair #5256

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-RPAL

Valero Texas Open: Will Ryan Palmer finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Ryan Palmer
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 392

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ryan Palmer finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-RPAL

Valero Texas Open: Will Ryan Palmer finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Ryan Palmer
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1551

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ryan Palmer finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:26:22Z

Reasoning: If Ryan Palmer finishes top 10, he necessarily also finishes top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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