Pair #5255

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-AWYL

Valero Texas Open: Will Austin Wylie finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Austin Wylie
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 377

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Austin Wylie finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-AWYL

Valero Texas Open: Will Austin Wylie make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Austin Wylie
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 10219

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Austin Wylie has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:26:22Z

Reasoning: If Austin Wylie finishes top 20, he must have made the cut — you cannot finish in the top 20 of a tournament without surviving the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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