Pair #5247

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-ASVE

Valero Texas Open: Will Adam Svensson finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Adam Svensson
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2738

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Adam Svensson finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-ASVE

Valero Texas Open: Will Adam Svensson finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Adam Svensson
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1302

YES ask: 0.1800
NO ask: 0.8800
Last: 0.2200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Adam Svensson finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:26:04Z

Reasoning: If Svensson finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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